Bitcoin (BTC-USD) lost momentum on Friday, dropping to $114,762its lowest since July 11as investor appetite for risk assets softened. The pullback followed stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data, which dented hopes for near-term Fed rate cuts. After hitting a record high of $123,205 earlier this month, fueled by optimism around U.S. regulation and institutional inflows, Bitcoin’s rally has taken a breather. Ether traded flat, and XRP slipped roughly 3% in early New York hours. Rachael Lucas, crypto analyst at BTC Markets, noted that while the broader uptrend could still be intact, momentum has cooled and traders are cautious.
Some market watchers see the retreat as part of a broader consolidation phase rather than a breakdown. According to FxPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich, the correction is healthy and necessary after recent highs. Even if the total crypto market cap falls back to $3.4 trilliondown from the $4 trillion peakit would still likely be viewed as profit-taking, not panic selling. That level remains a key threshold to watch for longer-term trend direction. The jobs data also ended a seven-day Asian equities rally, underscoring just how sensitive risk assets have become to shifting macro signals.
Meanwhile, the derivatives market is flashing signs of rising caution. Prime broker FalconX reported a $5 million put option trade on Deribit, betting on Bitcoin falling to $110,000 by August 8. It’s a notable hedge that reflects growing two-way risk. We expect to see further consolidation while Bitcoin remains below monthly trendline resistance, currently at around $125,000, said Tony Sycamore of IG Australia. That same level capped Bitcoin’s last breakout attemptadding to the technical ceiling traders are watching as the next test of market conviction.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
